Texas · KXNCAABBREG-26AUST
Texas is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 83¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26AUST.
Price history
83¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If Texas is the 2026 College Baseball Austin Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Texas
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Texas 83¢
Range
1¢-83¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26AUST-TEL
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
83¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$424
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26AUST
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
83 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Texas is the 2026 College Baseball Austin Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26AUST-TEL
Event family
KXNCAABBREG-26AUST.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Texas 83¢
Current share
54%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 83% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.