Texas State · KXNCAABBREG-26COLL
Texas State is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXNCAABBREG-26COLL.
Price history
8¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Texas State is the 2026 College Baseball College Station Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Texas State
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Texas A&M 58¢
Range
2¢-58¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26COLL-TSB
May 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$741
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNCAABBREG-26COLL
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Texas State is the 2026 College Baseball College Station Regional champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAABBREG-26COLL-TSB
Event family
KXNCAABBREG-26COLL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Texas A&M 58¢
Current share
34%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 8% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.