Will The Art of Loving be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will The Art of Loving be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date.... This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $226 in open interest, making the 17¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 0/10¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $226·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
KXTOPALBUMRUNNERUPUSA-26-OLI

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $226 in open interest, making the 17¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 690% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the thin order book and wide 10¢ spread, suggesting this is a speculative long-shot bet rather than an efficiently priced market. With 258 days to expiry and no recent trading activity, this contract would require significant research into "The Art of Loving" album's current streaming trajectory to justify entry at any price point.

Resolution rules

If The Art of Loving is the #2 most streamed Album on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 703.3%
IY (No) 29.5%
Adj IY 352%
CRI 5
Overround -0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)703.3%
IY (No)29.5%
Adj IY352%
CRI5
Overround-0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:06 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXTOPALBUMRUNNERUPUSA-26-OLI yes 100

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