SimpleFunctions

B200 compute per hour price above $5.07 by Jun 30

Above $5.07 is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 27¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

59¢ current

+55¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026Jun 15, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $5.07 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.07

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Above $3.27 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXB200Q-26JUN30-5.070

Jun 15, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 15, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

33¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

27¢

24h volume

$440

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 60¢

Kalshi
27¢ spread
BidSize
33¢8
32¢25
27¢300
26¢150
21¢30
AskSize
60¢8
65¢1
93¢30
94¢1.2K
95¢48

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of B200 compute per hour is above $5.07 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXB200Q-26JUN30-5.070

SF Signal
SF Index
5023.10
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5860.6%

IY (No)

886.3%

Adj IY

5023%

CRI

3

RV

3628%

VR

6.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5860.6%
886.3%
Adj IY
5023%
3
RV
3628%
VR
6.06
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
8.1%
LAS
0.14

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogtech

Prediction Markets Are Building a Yield Curve for AI Compute

B200 GPU rental markets now price AI compute as a tradable curve across Kalshi, Polymarket, Ornn, and cloud spot prices.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.