What is the current probability for "Will the copper close price be above 5.92 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 59¢ (59% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 4, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the copper close price be above 5.92 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 33318.7% and 24177.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

KalshiMay 4, 20261 days left

Will the copper close price be above 5.92 USD/Lbs on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

59¢

$2K volume

$2K liquidity

46% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

above $5.96 36¢

Ticker

KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.92

Price history

59¢ current

+24¢

May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 49¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

47¢33

46¢8

45¢60

43¢9

42¢77

AskSize

49¢162

51¢23

52¢126

60¢55

70¢101

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for copperusing the CCK6 contract on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5.92 USD/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.92

Event family

Will the copper close price be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

Highest price

above $5.68 91¢

Current share

46%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

above $5.92

kalshi · KXCOPPERD-26MAY0417-T5.92

45¢$2K$2K0.1

above $5.96