Margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary above 25%
Sharif Street, ≥25% is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 13 inside Will the margin of victory.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sharif Street, ≥25%
Rank
#3 of 13
Leader
Chris Rabb, 15-20% 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$56
Identifier
KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P62
May 25, 2026, 3:29 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$187
Family rank
#3 of 13
13 outcomes · Will the margin of victory
Closes
May 19, 2027
Family volume
$56
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the margin of victory for Sharif Street in the 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 19, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P62
Event family
Will the margin of victory.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$56
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Chris Rabb, 15-20% 96¢
Current share
0%
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P17
Chris Rabb, 10-15%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P12
Sharif Street, ≥25%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P62
Ala Stanford wins
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-ASTA-P50
Chris Rabb, 0-5%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P2
Chris Rabb, 20-25%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P22
Chris Rabb, ≥25%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P62
Chris Rabb, 5-10%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-CRAB-P7
Sharif Street, 10-15%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P12
Sharif Street, 15-20%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P17
Sharif Street, 0-5%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P2
Sharif Street, 20-25%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P22
Sharif Street, 5-10%
kalshi · KXPRIMARYMOV-PA3D26-SSTR-P7
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.