74° or below · Will the maximum temperature
74° or below is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the maximum temperature.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC for May 28, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
74° or below
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
81° to 82° 82¢
Range
1¢-82¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-T75
May 28, 2026, 8:44 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$175
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the maximum temperature
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the maximum temperature recorded at Washington DC for May 28, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-T75
Event family
Will the maximum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
81° to 82° 82¢
Current share
1%
81° to 82°
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-B81.5
83° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-T82
79° to 80°
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-B79.5
75° to 76°
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-B75.5
77° to 78°
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-B77.5
74° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHTDC-26MAY28-T75
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.