58° or above · Will the minimum temperature
58° or above is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
31¢ current
−15¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Boston for May 28, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
58° or above
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
54° to 55° 24¢
Range
1¢-24¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-T57
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
16¢
24h volume
$859
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Boston for May 28, 2026, is greater than 57° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-T57
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
54° to 55° 24¢
Current share
34%
54° to 55°
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-B54.5
56° to 57°
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-B56.5
58° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-T57
52° to 53°
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-B52.5
50° to 51°
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-B50.5
49° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTBOS-26MAY28-T50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.