SimpleFunctions

67° to 68° · Will the minimum temperature

67° to 68° is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.

Price history

33¢ current

+2¢
0¢25¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for May 29, 2026, is between 67-68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

67° to 68°

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

69° to 70° 28¢

Range

3¢-28¢

Family volume

$63

Identifier

KXLOWTSATX-26MAY29-B67.5

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$6

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature

Closes

May 30, 2026

Family volume

$63

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 33¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
25¢6
24¢135
22¢22
21¢3
20¢24
AskSize
33¢6
34¢135
39¢200
40¢135
41¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for May 29, 2026, is between 67-68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 30, 2026

Identifier

KXLOWTSATX-26MAY29-B67.5

SF Signal
SF Index
75361.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the minimum temperature.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$63

Outcomes

6

Highest price

69° to 70° 28¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

VR

2.82

IAR

3.4/h

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
VR
2.82
IAR
3.4/h
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.