68° to 69° · Will the minimum temperature
68° to 69° is priced at 12¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
12¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at New Orleans for May 29, 2026, is between 68-69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
68° to 69°
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
72° to 73° 33¢
Range
2¢-33¢
Family volume
$174
Identifier
KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B68.5
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$174
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at New Orleans for May 29, 2026, is between 68-69° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B68.5
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$174
Outcomes
6
Highest price
72° to 73° 33¢
Current share
0%
72° to 73°
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B72.5
70° to 71°
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B70.5
74° to 75°
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B74.5
68° to 69°
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-B68.5
67° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-T68
76° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTNOLA-26MAY29-T75
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.