SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $4.00 in June 2026

Above $4.00 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

96¢ current

+94¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $4.00

Rank

#1 of 7

Leader

Above $4.00 95¢

Range

4¢-95¢

Family volume

$267

Identifier

KXB200MS-26JUN-4.000

Jun 19, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

95¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$267

Orderbook snapshot

95 / 96¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
95¢9.9K
94¢300
93¢1.0K
2¢50
AskSize
96¢1.4K
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXB200MS-26JUN-4.000

SF Signal
SF Index
58326.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$267

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $4.00 95¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

161.6%

IY (No)

58326.3%

Adj IY

58326%

CRI

19

RV

3296%

VR

13.49

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

161.6%
58326.3%
Adj IY
58326%
19
RV
3296%
VR
13.49
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.