SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $5.50 in April 2027

Above $5.50 is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

36¢ current

14¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.50

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

Above $4.00 53¢

Range

26¢-53¢

Family volume

$692

Identifier

KXB200MS-27APR-5.500

Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

24h volume

$43

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

May 1, 2027

Family volume

$692

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 38¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
37¢658
36¢300
35¢3
AskSize
38¢783
40¢300
98¢46
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27APR-5.500

SF Signal
SF Index
196.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$692

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $4.00 53¢

Current share

6%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

196.1%

IY (No)

67.6%

Adj IY

196%

CRI

2

RV

48591%

VR

61.90

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

196.1%
67.6%
Adj IY
196%
2
RV
48591%
VR
61.90
IAR
2.4/h
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.