Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $4.50 in April 2027
Above $4.50 is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.
Price history
49¢ current
+46¢Contract brief
If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $4.50
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Above $4.00 53¢
Range
26¢-53¢
Family volume
$692
Identifier
KXB200MS-27APR-4.500
Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$64
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $
Closes
May 1, 2027
Family volume
$692
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 1, 2027
Identifier
KXB200MS-27APR-4.500
Event family
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$692
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $4.00 53¢
Current share
9%
Above $4.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-4.000
Above $4.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-4.500
Above $5.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-5.000
Above $5.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-5.500
Above $6.50
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-6.500
Above $6.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-6.000
Above $7.00
kalshi · KXB200MS-27APR-7.000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.