SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $5.50 in February 2027

Above $5.50 is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

39¢ current

+36¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.50

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

Above $4.00 55¢

Range

25¢-55¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXB200MS-27FEB-5.500

Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

Reported volume

$135

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 38¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
37¢753
34¢300
2¢57
AskSize
38¢898
39¢100
96¢47
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27FEB-5.500

SF Signal
SF Index
243.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $4.00 55¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

243.9%

IY (No)

84.1%

Adj IY

244%

CRI

2

RV

74975%

VR

51.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

243.9%
84.1%
Adj IY
244%
2
RV
74975%
VR
51.17
IAR
2.2/h
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.