SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 above $6.00 in March 2027

Above $6.00 is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

Price history

34¢ current

+30¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $6.00

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

Above $4.00 53¢

Range

26¢-53¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAR-6.000

Jun 19, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

34¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

33¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 34¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
33¢2.4K
32¢156
30¢300
2¢50
AskSize
34¢1.0K
92¢15
93¢29
95¢1.0K
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 1, 2027

Identifier

KXB200MS-27MAR-6.000

SF Signal
SF Index
259.23
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $4.00 53¢

Current share

88%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

259.2%

IY (No)

62.9%

Adj IY

259%

CRI

2

RV

40443%

VR

35.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

259.2%
62.9%
Adj IY
259%
2
RV
40443%
VR
35.16
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
1.7%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.