SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $3.00 in December 2026

Above $3.00 is priced at 57¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

57¢ current

+32¢
25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3.00

Rank

#4 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 83¢

Range

24¢-83¢

Family volume

$679

Identifier

KXH200MS-26DEC-3.000

Jun 18, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 18, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

57¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$679

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 57¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
56¢1.3K
AskSize
57¢1.3K
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH200MS-26DEC-3.000

SF Signal
SF Index
117.95
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

145.6%

IY (No)

235.9%

Adj IY

118%

CRI

1

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

145.6%
235.9%
Adj IY
118%
1
Overround
4.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.