SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets — 83 contracts, SF signal on every row.

83 live Kalshi contracts (83 audited). Median implied probability sits at 80%. 84 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXH200W-26MAY15-3.97 -57c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 70.3pp · richest KXH200W-26MAY15-3.97.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXH.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXH
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXH
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXH",
    "label": "GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 83,
    "volume24hSum": 403.75,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00024
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$404+117%
min $186max $418
Breadth-44%-31.9pp
min -60%max -13%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 08:15 UTC
May 12past 27h · UTCMay 13 · 07:58

Live contracts

83

Median IY

80¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$404

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-57¢

KXH200W-26MAY15-3.97

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets — liquidity topography (top 12 of 83 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 139.6 → 5037.0%

$10$1001d7d30d90d365d5037.02588.3139.6

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets

Showing top 20 of 83

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?: Before 202921¢
IY 140%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$90
H100 SXM price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 2.7874¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 930%Resid —$86
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.17 on May 31?: Above $2.1781¢
IY 454%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 723%Resid —$40
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.12 on May 31?: Above $2.1280¢
IY 484%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$34
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.11 on May 31?: Above $2.1182¢
IY 425%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 537%Resid —$31
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.9 on May 31?: Above $1.9085¢
IY 342%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 184%Resid —$27
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2 on May 31?: Above $2.0083¢
IY 397%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 442%Resid —$25
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.14 on May 31?: Above $2.1480¢
IY 484%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 738%Resid —$24
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.05 on May 31?: Above $2.0582¢
IY 425%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 965%Resid —$20
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.95 on May 31?: Above $1.9584¢
IY 369%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 299%Resid —$15
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.15 on May 31?: Above $2.1582¢
IY 425%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 600%Resid —$11
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.1 on May 31?: Above $2.1082¢
IY 425%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 431%Resid —$1
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.9793¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.02 on May 31?: Above $2.0283¢
IY 397%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 482%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.86 on May 31?: Above $1.8684¢
IY 369%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 854%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.87 on May 31?: Above $1.8784¢
IY 369%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 842%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.88 on May 31?: Above $1.8884¢
IY 369%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 714%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.89 on May 31?: Above $1.8985¢
IY 342%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 720%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.91 on May 31?: Above $1.9185¢
IY 342%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 708%Resid —$0
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.92 on May 31?: Above $1.9284¢
IY 369%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 729%Resid —$0
83 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets

From market_changes
21h agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
40¢97→40 (-57)
open →
32m agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
93¢38→93 (+55)
open →
11h agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
38¢90→38 (-52)
open →
37m agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
38¢90→38 (-52)
open →
3h agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
48¢97→48 (-49)
open →
15h agoKalshi
H200 price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 3.97
40¢89→40 (-49)
open →
12h agoKalshi
H100 SXM price up in next week?: Price to Beat: 2.78
58¢29→58 (+29)
open →
12h agoKalshi
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.05 on May 31?: Above $2.05
60¢80→60 (-20)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 13 May 2026 07:53:38 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXH →

Category view

All Kalshi Science and Technology markets. /markets/category/science-and-technology →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →