SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets — 326 contracts, SF signal on every row.

326 live Kalshi contracts (83 audited). Median implied probability sits at 53%. 813 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXH200WS-26SEP11-3.500 -94c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 48.5pp · richest KXH200WS-26SEP18-2.500.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXH.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXH
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXH
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXH",
    "label": "GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 326,
    "volume24hSum": 9930.61,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00025
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 21 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$9.9K+82%
min $4.2Kmax $27.4K
Breadth1%-1.2pp
min -33%max 46%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 05:45 UTC
Aug 14past 7d · UTCAug 21 · 04:23

Live contracts

326

Median IY

53¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$9.9K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-94¢

KXH200WS-26SEP11-3.500

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets — liquidity topography (top 41 of 326 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 21.1 → 80728.3%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d80728.340374.721.1

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets

Showing top 20 of 326

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $6 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04?: Above $6.0016¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$1.1K
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.25 in September 2026?: Above $3.2520¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$687
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in November 2026?: Above $2.0091¢
IY 35%Cliff 10Edge —RVol 82%Resid —$541
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in December 2026?: Above $2.5079¢
IY 73%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$474
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $3.5095¢
IY 89%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$453
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in November 2026?: Above $2.2577¢
IY 107%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$451
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $4.0091¢
IY 167%Cliff 10Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$431
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?: Above $6.0046¢
IY 596%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$410
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in September 2026?: Above $4.0078¢
IY 251%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$400
Will the NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price be above $2.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $2.5080¢
IY 319%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$400
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $6.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04?: Above $6.503¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$360
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in September 2026?: Above $3.5088¢
IY 122%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 688%Resid —$298
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04?: Above $4.0085¢
IY 441%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$284
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?: Above $2.0084¢
IY 52%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 107%Resid —$283
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?: Above $2.2584¢
IY 97%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$259
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in February 2027?: Above $2.0078¢
IY 54%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$252
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in November 2026?: Above $2.0086¢
IY 58%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$252
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in January 2027?: Above $2.0077¢
IY 66%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$251
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in February 2027?: Above $2.5060¢
IY 127%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$251
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in December 2026?: Above $2.2574¢
IY 96%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$250
326 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets

From market_changes
21h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $3.50
1¢95→1 (-94)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $3.50
95¢1→95 (+94)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $4.00
91¢1→91 (+90)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 11?: Above $4.00
1¢91→1 (-90)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price be above $2.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $2.50
1¢84→1 (-83)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H100 compute per hour price be above $2.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $2.50
84¢1→84 (+83)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in November 2026?: Above $2.50
2¢84→2 (-82)
open →
22h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.50
1¢83→1 (-82)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 21 Aug 2026 05:08:42 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXH →

Category view

All Kalshi Science and Technology markets. /markets/category/science-and-technology →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →