SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $5.00 in November 2026

Above $5.00 is priced at 32¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

32¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.00

Rank

#8 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 84¢

Range

22¢-84¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXH200MS-26NOV-5.000

Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#8 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 32¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
31¢1.6K
2¢52
AskSize
32¢1.1K
35¢300
98¢45
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH200MS-26NOV-5.000

SF Signal
SF Index
245.61
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

491.2%

IY (No)

99.2%

Adj IY

246%

CRI

2

Overround

4.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

491.2%
99.2%
Adj IY
246%
2
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.