SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $3.00 in October 2026

Above $3.00 is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

61¢ current

+36¢
25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3.00

Rank

#4 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 87¢

Range

18¢-87¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXH200MS-26OCT-3.000

Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$64

Family rank

#4 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
60¢1.1K
59¢84
58¢300
2¢47
AskSize
61¢1.2K
62¢431
98¢48
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXH200MS-26OCT-3.000

SF Signal
SF Index
404.51
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

179.8%

IY (No)

404.5%

Adj IY

405%

CRI

2

RV

3017%

VR

12.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

179.8%
404.5%
Adj IY
405%
2
RV
3017%
VR
12.45
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.