SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 above $5.00 in January 2027

Above $5.00 is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 11 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $.

Price history

33¢ current

+8¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $5.00

Rank

#8 of 11

Leader

Above $1.50 81¢

Range

26¢-81¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXH200MS-27JAN-5.000

Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

24h volume

$57

Family rank

#8 of 11

11 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 38¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
37¢1.1K
34¢300
32¢4
2¢49
AskSize
38¢1.5K
98¢44
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXH200MS-27JAN-5.000

SF Signal
SF Index
273.31
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXH series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

273.3%

IY (No)

94.3%

Adj IY

273%

CRI

2

RV

113557%

VR

29.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

273.3%
94.3%
Adj IY
273%
2
RV
113557%
VR
29.11
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.