SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $2.00 in August 2026

Above $2.00 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

1¢ current

48¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#7 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 86¢

Range

1¢-86¢

Family volume

$431

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26AUG-2.000

Jun 18, 2026, 6:37 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 6:37 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$63

Family rank

#7 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Family volume

$431

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 2¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢37K
AskSize
2¢22
3¢600
4¢52
9¢1
98¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2 in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26AUG-2.000

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$431

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 86¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.