SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $0.75 in December 2026

Above $0.75 is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

42¢ current

7¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.75

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 71¢

Range

3¢-71¢

Family volume

$254

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26DEC-0.750

Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

42¢

Ask

44¢

Spread

24h volume

$17

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$254

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 44¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
42¢9
41¢414
38¢200
37¢135
2¢43
AskSize
44¢9
45¢414
46¢200
47¢94
98¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.75 in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-26DEC-0.750

SF Signal
SF Index
277.99
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$254

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 71¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

278.0%

IY (No)

123.5%

Adj IY

278%

CRI

2

RV

30758%

VR

35.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

278.0%
123.5%
Adj IY
278%
2
RV
30758%
VR
35.07
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
0.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.