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Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.75 in April 2027

Above $1.75 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

10¢ current

39¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.75 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.75

Rank

#6 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 64¢

Range

9¢-64¢

Family volume

$228

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27APR-1.750

Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 18, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$22

Family rank

#6 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

May 1, 2027

Family volume

$228

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
10¢315
8¢300
7¢200
4¢48K
AskSize
11¢589
98¢45
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.75 in April 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27APR-1.750

SF Signal
SF Index
1036.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$228

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 64¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1036.6%

IY (No)

12.8%

Adj IY

1037%

CRI

9

RV

79614%

VR

104.86

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1036.6%
12.8%
Adj IY
1037%
9
RV
79614%
VR
104.86
IAR
2.2/h
Overround
0.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.