SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $0.50 in June 2027

Above $0.50 is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

67¢ current

+18¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $0.50

Rank

#1 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 65¢

Range

8¢-65¢

Family volume

$293

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUN-0.500

Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

65¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

Reported volume

$23

Family rank

#1 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Family volume

$293

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 66¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
65¢985
60¢300
2¢51
AskSize
66¢1.4K
71¢399
97¢45
98¢14
99¢2.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.5 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUN-0.500

SF Signal
SF Index
179.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$293

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 65¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

52.2%

IY (No)

179.9%

Adj IY

180%

CRI

2

RV

95318%

VR

61.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

52.2%
179.9%
Adj IY
180%
2
RV
95318%
VR
61.19
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
1.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.