SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.25 in June 2027

Above $1.25 is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

59¢ current

+10¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.25

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 62¢

Range

13¢-62¢

Family volume

$56

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUN-1.250

Jun 17, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 17, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

30¢

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Family volume

$56

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 49¢

Kalshi
30¢ spread
BidSize
100¢6.2K
19¢4
14¢14
AskSize
49¢2
98¢33
99¢1.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.25 in June 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27JUN-1.250

SF Signal
SF Index
248.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$56

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 62¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

248.1%

IY (No)

37.5%

Adj IY

248%

CRI

3

RV

160240%

VR

95.92

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

248.1%
37.5%
Adj IY
248%
3
RV
160240%
VR
95.92
IAR
3.2/h
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.