SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $1.00 in May 2027

Above $1.00 is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

28¢ current

21¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.00

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 67¢

Range

6¢-67¢

Family volume

$156

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAY-1.000

Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

Reported volume

$31

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Family volume

$156

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 31¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
30¢875
25¢500
2¢45
AskSize
31¢1.1K
33¢200
94¢13
98¢45
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAY-1.000

SF Signal
SF Index
245.63
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$156

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 67¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

245.6%

IY (No)

45.1%

Adj IY

246%

CRI

2

RV

46429%

VR

48.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

245.6%
45.1%
Adj IY
246%
2
RV
46429%
VR
48.00
IAR
1.8/h
Overround
0.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.