SimpleFunctions

Monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 above $2.00 in May 2027

Above $2.00 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

Price history

6¢ current

43¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $2.00

Rank

#7 of 7

Leader

Above $0.50 67¢

Range

6¢-67¢

Family volume

$162

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAY-2.000

Jun 19, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 19, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$156

Family rank

#7 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Family volume

$162

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢23K
6¢822
5¢400
4¢300
2¢52
AskSize
7¢709
8¢500
17¢27
27¢1
96¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the average value of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $2 in May 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MS-27MAY-2.000

SF Signal
SF Index
1648.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$162

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $0.50 67¢

Current share

96%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1649.0%

IY (No)

6.7%

Adj IY

1649%

CRI

16

RV

46912%

VR

83.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1649.0%
6.7%
Adj IY
1649%
16
RV
46912%
VR
83.07
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
0.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.