Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama: Tommy Tuberville · GOVPARTYAL-26
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama: Tommy Tuberville is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside GOVPARTYAL-26.
Price history
89¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Alabama pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama: Tommy Tuberville
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama: Tommy Tuberville 89¢
Range
6¢-89¢
Family volume
$549
Identifier
GOVPARTYAL-26-R
May 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$464
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · GOVPARTYAL-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$549
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Alabama pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
GOVPARTYAL-26-R
Event family
GOVPARTYAL-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$549
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama: Tommy Tuberville 89¢
Current share
84%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.