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RTX 5090 compute per hour price above $1.76 by Dec 31

Above $1.76 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 15 inside Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $.

Price history

20¢ current

+17¢
0¢25¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.76 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $1.76

Rank

#12 of 15

Leader

Above $0.11 98¢

Range

6¢-98¢

Family volume

$121

Identifier

KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.760

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

Reported volume

$13

Family rank

#12 of 15

15 outcomes · Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$121

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 15¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.0K
14¢1.1K
13¢1.0K
2¢200
AskSize
15¢16
16¢30
94¢200
95¢1.0K
99¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $1.76 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRTX5090MAX-26DEC31-1.760

SF Signal
SF Index
1031.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1031.6%

IY (No)

27.3%

Adj IY

1032%

CRI

6

RV

11488%

VR

23.61

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1031.6%
27.3%
Adj IY
1032%
6
RV
11488%
VR
23.61
IAR
2.3/h
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.