What is the current probability for "Will the silver close price be above 76.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 49¢ (49% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 4, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the silver close price be above 76.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 34689.8% and 23222.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

KalshiMay 4, 20261 days left

Will the silver close price be above 76.50 USD/t.oz on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

49¢

$2K volume

$1K liquidity

47% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

above $76.25 43¢

Ticker

KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.50

Price history

49¢ current

+42¢

May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 47¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

45¢1.3K

26¢21

25¢225

23¢24

7¢218

AskSize

47¢597

48¢142

52¢8

66¢101

69¢52

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on May 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 76.50 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.50

Event family

Will the silver close price be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

Highest price

above $68.75 85¢

Current share

47%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

above $76.50

kalshi · KXSILVERD-26MAY0417-T76.50

45¢$2K$2K0.0

above $76.25