SimpleFunctions

South Africa inflation rate MoM for May 2026 above 1.0%

Above 1.0% is priced at 47¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will the South Africa inflation rate MoM for May 2026 be above.

Price history

47¢ current

+44¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If the South Africa inflation rate MoM for May 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 1.0%

Rank

#3 of 8

Leader

Above 0.6% 74¢

Range

6¢-74¢

Family volume

$211

Identifier

KXSAMOMINF-26JUN17-T1.0

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

47¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

47¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 8

8 outcomes · Will the South Africa inflation rate MoM for May 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Family volume

$211

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 47¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
46¢1.9K
18¢48
17¢1.5K
2¢200
AskSize
47¢1.1K
49¢300
82¢252
83¢1.7K
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the South Africa inflation rate MoM for May 2026 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Identifier

KXSAMOMINF-26JUN17-T1.0

SF Signal
SF Index
2191.03
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2191.0%

IY (No)

1589.9%

Adj IY

2191%

CRI

1

RV

3316%

VR

3.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2191.0%
1589.9%
Adj IY
2191%
1
RV
3316%
VR
3.43
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.