SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 2027375 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 50000?

This contract is priced at 94¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

94¢
$0 volume
liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$500

Best sibling

Above 60k 94¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-50000

Market snapshot

Above 50k in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 50000?. The displayed quote is 94¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 50k

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

94¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2027

Reported volume

Family context

6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above

Quote range

16¢-94¢

Family leader

Above 60k 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-50000. Family volume: $500.

Price history

94¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 94¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
93¢100
92¢200
49¢417
47¢54
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-50000

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$500

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 60k 94¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7.3%

IY (No)

1291.9%

Adj IY

646%

CRI

13

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

7.3%
1291.9%
Adj IY
646%
13
Overround
3.0%

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