Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 60000?
This contract is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$501
Best sibling
Above 100k 25¢
Ticker
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-60000
Market snapshot
Above 60k in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 60000?. The displayed quote is 95¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $19K. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 60k
Family rank
#1 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
95¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 19, 2027
Reported volume
$19K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above
Quote range
25¢-94¢
Family leader
Above 60k 94¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-60000. Family volume: $501.
Price history
95¢ current
+18¢Orderbook snapshot
94 / 99¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 60000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 19, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-60000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$501
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above 60k 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 60k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-60000
Above 100k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-100000
Above 70k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-70000
Above 80k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-80000
Above 90k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-90000
Above 50k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-50000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.