SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 2027375 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 70000?

This contract is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

81¢
$103 volume
$103 liquidity
21% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$500

Best sibling

Above 60k 94¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-70000

Market snapshot

Above 70k in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 70000?. The displayed quote is 81¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $103. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 70k

Family rank

#3 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

81¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2027

Reported volume

$103

Family context

6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above

Quote range

16¢-94¢

Family leader

Above 60k 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-70000. Family volume: $500.

Price history

81¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

77 / 85¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
77¢1.3K
75¢200
18¢251
17¢2.6K
AskSize
85¢100
86¢200
96¢34
97¢53
99¢969

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 70000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-70000

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$500

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 60k 94¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

29.0%

IY (No)

325.5%

Adj IY

163%

CRI

3

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

29.0%
325.5%
Adj IY
163%
3
Overround
3.0%

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