SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 2027375 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 80000?

This contract is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

69¢
$26 volume
$26 liquidity
5% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$500

Best sibling

Above 60k 94¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-80000

Market snapshot

Above 80k in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 80000?. The displayed quote is 69¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $26. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above family, this outcome ranks #4 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 80k

Family rank

#4 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

69¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2027

Reported volume

$26

Family context

6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above

Quote range

16¢-94¢

Family leader

Above 60k 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-80000. Family volume: $500.

Price history

69¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 72¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
64¢100
62¢200
16¢200
15¢792
AskSize
72¢100
73¢200
93¢32
95¢54
99¢2.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 80000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-KY4R26-80000

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$500

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 60k 94¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

54.7%

IY (No)

172.9%

Adj IY

86%

CRI

2

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

54.7%
172.9%
Adj IY
86%
2
Overround
3.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index