SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 11, 2026

Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on May 11, 2026 be above 1320.90?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$8K volume
$4K liquidity
7% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$118K

Best sibling

Above 1200.90 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUEV-26MAY11-T1320.90

Market snapshot

Above 1320.90 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on May 11, 2026 be above 1320.90?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $8K. In the Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on May 11, 2026 be above 1 family, this outcome ranks #13 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above 1320.90

Family rank

#13 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 11, 2026

24h volume

$8K

Family context

15 outcomes · Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on May 11, 2026 be above 1

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Above 1200.90 99¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUEV-26MAY11-T1320.90. Family volume: $118K.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢600
12¢100
53¢47
54¢3.5K
100¢14K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Truflation EV Commodity Index on May 11, 2026 is above 1320.90, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 11, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUEV-26MAY11-T1320.90

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.