SimpleFunctions
KalshiFeb 1, 2027268 days left

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

This contract is priced at 91¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

91¢
$0 volume
3.6 LAS liquidity

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above $140 billion 72¢

Ticker

KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T130

Market snapshot

Above $130 billion in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?. The displayed quote is 91¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $ family, this outcome ranks #1 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above $130 billion

Family rank

#1 of 10

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

91¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Feb 1, 2027

Reported volume

Family context

10 outcomes · Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $

Quote range

1¢-87¢

Family leader

Above $130 billion 87¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T130. Family volume: .

Price history

91¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 95¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
87¢100
86¢250
8¢247
7¢2.9K
AskSize
95¢250
98¢200
99¢663

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $130 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T130

Event family

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

10

Highest price

Above $130 billion 87¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

20.3%

IY (No)

910.1%

Adj IY

413%

CRI

7

Overround

2.1%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

20.3%
910.1%
Adj IY
413%
7
Overround
2.1%
LAS
0.09

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