SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?

This contract is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

65¢
$57K volume
$25K liquidity
81936% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$69

Best sibling

3 9¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPFIRE-27-0

Market snapshot

0 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?. The displayed quote is 65¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4. In the Will Trump fire family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

0

Family rank

#1 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

65¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$4

Family context

6 outcomes · Will Trump fire

Quote range

1¢-64¢

Family leader

0 64¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPFIRE-27-0. Family volume: $69.

Price history

65¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 65¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
64¢351
63¢10
57¢135
56¢250
51¢16
AskSize
65¢555
66¢550
75¢5
80¢100
89¢18

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPFIRE-27-0

Event family

Will Trump fire.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$69

Outcomes

6

Highest price

0 64¢

Current share

6%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

86.5%

IY (No)

273.5%

Adj IY

135%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

86.5%
273.5%
Adj IY
135%
2
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.02

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