SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$18K volume
$9K liquidity
26251% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$67

Best sibling

3 9¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPFIRE-27-2

Market snapshot

2 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $18K. In the Will Trump fire family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

2

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

20¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$18K

Family context

6 outcomes · Will Trump fire

Quote range

1¢-64¢

Family leader

0 64¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXTRUMPFIRE-27-2. Family volume: $67.

Price history

20¢ current

+9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 20¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
15¢68
14¢200
13¢125
12¢250
2¢16
AskSize
20¢57
21¢125
22¢250
27¢19
40¢187

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 2 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPFIRE-27-2

Event family

Will Trump fire.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$67

Outcomes

6

Highest price

0 64¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

871.1%

IY (No)

27.1%

Adj IY

290%

CRI

6

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

871.1%
27.1%
Adj IY
290%
6
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.33

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