SimpleFunctions

June 30 · Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by

June 30 is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

7¢ current

6¢
10¢20¢
May 8, 2026Jun 7, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome

June 30

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$14K

Identifier

0x92643b0e...75f6

Jun 8, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$200

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$14K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 7¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
6¢5
4¢12
3¢45
2¢700
AskSize
7¢8
8¢300
9¢47
13¢20
14¢13
16¢96
17¢213
18¢33

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x92643b0e…75f6

SF Signal
SF Index
7942.05
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$14K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

June 30 7¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

22237.3%
126.0%
Adj IY
7942%
13
LAS
0.29

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.