June 30 · Will Trump restart Project Freedom by
June 30 is priced at 100¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 100¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
100¢ current
+86¢Contract brief
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
June 30
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$6.0M
Identifier
0xdfd4d487...36a9
Jun 13, 2026, 3:27 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
100¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$708K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$6.0M
Orderbook snapshot
100 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xdfd4d487…36a9
Event family
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6.0M
Outcomes
1
Highest price
June 30 100¢
Current share
100%
June 30
polymarket · 0xdfd4d487d004c266493bdf32551d7f018c7eb4b9325f42ac368dd5075eec36a9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.