Ty Gibbs · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26
Ty Gibbs is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26.
Price history
38¢ current
Contract brief
If Ty Gibbs finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ty Gibbs
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Tyler Reddick 49¢
Range
37¢-49¢
Family volume
$28
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-TYGI
May 27, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
38¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$28
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ty Gibbs finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-TYGI
Event family
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$28
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Tyler Reddick 49¢
Current share
22%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 38% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.