SimpleFunctions

Christopher Bell · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26

Christopher Bell is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26.

Price history

42¢ current

0¢25¢
May 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Christopher Bell

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Ryan Blaney 50¢

Range

1¢-50¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHBE

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

46¢

Spread

28¢

Reported volume

$10

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26

Closes

Jun 29, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 46¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
100¢88
18¢10
5¢25
2¢506
AskSize
46¢5
47¢5
52¢5
57¢5
67¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Christopher Bell finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHBE

SF Signal
SF Index
2652.13
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5304.3%

IY (No)

255.6%

Adj IY

2652%

CRI

5

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5304.3%
255.6%
Adj IY
2652%
5
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.