SimpleFunctions

Tyla · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Tyla is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

99¢ current

+7¢
90¢95¢100¢
Apr 26, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Tyla releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tyla

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Tyla 98¢

Range

18¢-98¢

Family volume

$131

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TYL

May 26, 2026, 3:15 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 3:15 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

98¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$131

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 99¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
98¢17
97¢50
92¢49
91¢633
89¢400
AskSize
99¢973

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tyla releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TYL

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.