SimpleFunctions

TYLOO · KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2

TYLOO is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2.

Price history

66¢ current

+7¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If TYLOO wins map 2 in the China Evolution Series Act 2 2026: TYLOO vs. Nova Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

TYLOO

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

TYLOO 62¢

Range

34¢-62¢

Family volume

$7

Identifier

KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2-TYLOO

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

62¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$7

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 66¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
62¢1.1K
61¢1.0K
31¢1
21¢1
16¢1
AskSize
66¢1.2K
67¢1.0K
69¢1.0K
85¢5
87¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If TYLOO wins map 2 in the China Evolution Series Act 2 2026: TYLOO vs. Nova Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2-TYLOO

SF Signal
SF Index
4056.17
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXVALORANTMAP-26MAY290700TYLOONOVA-2.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7

Outcomes

2

Highest price

TYLOO 62¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1523.7%

IY (No)

4056.2%

Adj IY

4056%

CRI

2

RV

104324%

VR

6.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1523.7%
4056.2%
Adj IY
4056%
2
RV
104324%
VR
6.18
IAR
0.9/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.