Will MIR win map 2 in the MIR vs. Enterprise Esports match
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 48% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
48%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
8 contracts
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
14 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will FULL SENSE win map
Cluster 2
Will FUT Esports win map
Cluster 3
Will Global Esports win map
Will Global Esports win map 1 in the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports match?: Global Esports
KXVALORANTMAP-26JUN071300GELEV-1-GE
Will Global Esports win map 2 in the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports match?: Global Esports
KXVALORANTMAP-26JUN071300GELEV-2-GE
Cluster 4
Will Leviatán Esports win map
Will Leviatán Esports win map 1 in the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports match?: Leviatán Esports
KXVALORANTMAP-26JUN071300GELEV-1-LEV
Will Leviatán Esports win map 2 in the Global Esports vs. Leviatán Esports match?: Leviatán Esports
KXVALORANTMAP-26JUN071300GELEV-2-LEV
What moved the line
- Jun 5FULL SENSE↑4pp46→50¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 5Global Esports↑4pp38→42¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 5FULL SENSE↑3pp47→50¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 5Global Esports↑3pp37→40¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 6Global Esports↑3pp40→43¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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