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UK inflation rate YoY for May 2026 above 2.8%

Above 2.8% is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside Will UK inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above.

Price history

74¢ current

3¢
70¢80¢90¢
May 20, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If UK inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.8 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.8%

Rank

#5 of 15

Leader

Above 2.4% 89¢

Range

1¢-89¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXUKCPIYOY-26JUN17-T2.8

Jun 7, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

74¢

Ask

87¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$124

Family rank

#5 of 15

15 outcomes · Will UK inflation rate YoY for May 2026 be above

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

74 / 87¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
74¢48
70¢200
53¢88
52¢99
3¢5.0K
AskSize
88¢208
98¢264
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If UK inflation rate YoY for May 2026 is above 2.8 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Identifier

KXUKCPIYOY-26JUN17-T2.8

SF Signal
SF Index
5377.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1327.6%

IY (No)

10754.1%

Adj IY

5377%

CRI

3

Overround

5.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

1327.6%
10754.1%
Adj IY
5377%
3
Overround
5.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.