Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Tobacco and Smoking Products in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 1731.417ㅤ?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 93¢ (93% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 22 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Tobacco and Smoking Products in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 1731.417ㅤ?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.7% and 5611.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Tobacco and Smoking Products in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 1731.417ㅤ?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5611.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2223%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.21	Liquidity Availability Score

Will U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Tobacco and Smoking Products in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 1731.417ㅤ?

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