Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$1.1M
Best sibling
December 31 10¢
Ticker
0x85177fe9…3b0f
Price history
2¢ current
−48¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x85177fe9…3b0f
Event family
Will US withdraw from NATO by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1.1M
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 10¢
Current share
10%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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