Eliminated same stage · KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX
Eliminated same stage is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX.
Price history
22¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If USA and Mexico are eliminated in the same stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eliminated same stage
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
USA advances further than Mexico 43¢
Range
25¢-43¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX-TIE
Jun 18, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$226
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USA and Mexico are eliminated in the same stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX-TIE
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
USA advances further than Mexico 43¢
Current share
7%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.